Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

The question asks whether Donald Trump will launch a coin by December 31, 2026. The provided articles do not directly address any future launch plans. Article NYT article discusses the existing Trump memecoin and its investor losses, indicating that a token has already been launched, but it does not mention any new launch. Article Guardian article discusses a crypto bank partly owned by the Trump family, but again does not mention any new token launch. Since the resolution criteria require a new launch by the end of 2026, and the articles provide no evidence of such a plan, the information is insufficient to make a confident prediction. The prior probability of a new launch is uncertain, and without any relevant news, I must remain near the middle of the probability scale. Therefore, I assign a probability of 0.5, reflecting the lack of information either way.