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The question asks whether the Joint List will win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections. The provided articles do not contain any polling data, seat projections, or historical seat counts for the Joint List in the 2026 election. Article Ground RIK is about a Russian 'Joint List' for national council elections, which is unrelated to the Israeli Joint List. Article Ground Joint reports on a Supreme Court ruling that allowed the Joint List to run in the election for the 26th Knesset, but it does not provide any information about their expected seat count. Without any relevant data on the Joint List's electoral prospects, it is impossible to assess whether they are likely to win fewer than 6 seats. Therefore, the probability is set to 0.5, reflecting maximum uncertainty due to the lack of pertinent information.
Articles in the pack
- Ground RIK — RIK: Russia's Joint List for National Council Elections
- Ground Joint — Ra’am, Joint List Appeal Election Bans as Petitions Target Otzma Yehudit