Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 1?

The provided article abc.net.au article describes Houthi attacks on Saudi shipping and advances on Saudi-backed forces, but it does not specify any particular military action on October 1, nor does it mention an air strike or surface-to-surface missile strike directly impacting Saudi Arabia's terrestrial territory on that date. The resolution criteria require a specific qualifying action (air strike or surface-to-surface missile strike) that directly impacts Saudi Arabia, with interceptions or minor strikes excluded. Since the article is general and does not provide evidence of a qualifying action on the specified date, the information is insufficient to confidently predict a YES or NO. The market remains highly uncertain, and the available reporting does not settle the question, so a near-0.5 probability is appropriate.