Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?

The available articles are almost entirely about national midterm dynamics, President Trump's rallies, and Republican challenges in other states (Ohio, Wisconsin), not specifically about Connecticut's 2026 gubernatorial race. Connecticut is a strongly Democratic state in federal and state elections; no article provides any polling, candidate information, or trend specific to Connecticut that would suggest a Republican victory. The articles that do mention Republican prospects (e.g., Ohio, Wisconsin) describe competitive or difficult races, and one notes inflation and economic headwinds hurting Republicans Aljazeera articleabc.net.au article. Without any Connecticut-specific evidence, the base rate of Republican performance in Connecticut (a blue state) and the lack of favorable news lead me to assign a low probability, but not extremely low because the election is far away and candidates are not yet known. The articles do not settle the question, so I stay well below 0.5 but above 0.01.