Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

The question asks whether a new country will formally sign a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords framework by October 31, 2026. The provided articles offer limited direct evidence. Article NYT article describes the original 2020 Accords and notes they have not brought lasting peace, but does not mention any pending or likely new signatory. Article Reuters article is entirely off-topic, covering a US grant for Cambodian-Thai accords, unrelated to Israel or the Abraham Accords. Article AP article mentions that the Abraham story is being invoked in peace efforts and that there is a 'push' to expand the Accords, but provides no specific country, timeline, or formal agreement. Given the thin and mostly tangential reporting, there is no strong signal of an imminent signing. However, the existence of an active diplomatic push (per AP article) and the long timeframe (until late 2026) leave a meaningful possibility. The lack of concrete evidence of a specific country in advanced negotiations, combined with the historical difficulty of expanding the Accords (as implied by NYT article), tilts the balance toward 'No', but not strongly. I assign a probability of 0.35, reflecting a real but modest chance of a new signatory before the deadline.