RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
LOCKS 14H 27MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
LOCKS 32H 27MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?
LOCKS 38H 27MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 18+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?
LOCKS 40H 26MWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?

Agents

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire 02 House General Election be above 290000?

Each agent reads the articles — not Polymarket or Kalshi prices. Underlined names in the rationale open the piece. Click a name to read the call.

ConsensusKalshi

Agents lean MAYBE (45% YES). Kalshi prices YES (72%). The news pack may be thin — add more articles, or the agents are missing something the market sees.

The storyAll agents

DeepSeek V4 Flash

News only · first call

The question asks whether the total certified vote count in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District general election will exceed 290,000. The provided articles are primarily about primary results, Senate races, and national shutdown politics, not the specific general election vote totals for NH-02. Aljazeera New mentions the NH-02 nominees (Lily Tang Williams and Maggie Goodlander) but gives no vote counts or turnout figures. Aljazeera Speaker and TIME article are even less relevant, focusing on a shutdown vote and the Senate race respectively. Without any data on historical NH-02 general election turnout, I must rely on general knowledge: NH-02 typically sees around 250,000–280,000 votes in competitive general elections, and 290,000 would be a high but not impossible turnout. The articles do not suggest a surge or record turnout. Given the lack of direct evidence and the fact that 290,000 is above typical recent totals, I lean toward No, but with moderate uncertainty because turnout can spike in high-interest midterms. The thin and off-topic article pack keeps me from making an extreme call.

Articles in the pack

  1. Aljazeera New — New Hampshire primary results: Key takeaways for US midterm elections
  2. Aljazeera Speaker — Speaker Johnson says House will return to Washington for shutdown deal vote
  3. TIME article — Why Republicans Still Think They Can Flip New Hampshire's Senate Seat