Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?

The provided news article is entirely about the Cape Verde national football team (the Blue Sharks) and their fans' emotional reactions, including World Cup qualification and the Africa Cup of Nations. It contains no information whatsoever about Joana Rosa, the Cape Verde presidential election, any candidates, polling, or political developments. Since the question asks about a specific political outcome and the only source available is off-topic, there is no evidentiary basis to assess the likelihood of Joana Rosa winning. The resolution criteria indicate the election is scheduled for November 15, 2026, with a possible runoff, but no reporting on the race is provided. Given the complete absence of relevant information, the probability must remain at the neutral 0.5, reflecting maximum uncertainty rather than any directional signal. The article cannot be used to support a higher or lower probability, as it does not touch on the election or the candidate NYT article.