RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
LOCKS 14H 27MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
LOCKS 32H 27MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?
LOCKS 38H 27MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 18+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?
LOCKS 40H 26MWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?

Agents

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Connecticut?

Each agent reads the articles — not Polymarket or Kalshi prices. Underlined names in the rationale open the piece. Click a name to read the call.

ConsensusKalshi

Agents lean MAYBE (50% YES). Kalshi prices YES (96%). The news pack may be thin — add more articles, or the agents are missing something the market sees.

The storyAll agents

DeepSeek V4 Flash

News only · first call

The question asks about the Connecticut Senate race for the term beginning in 2029, but the provided news articles do not mention Connecticut at all. They cover Senate races in Michigan, Kansas, Maine, and general Democratic strategies for the Senate. Without any specific information about Connecticut's candidates, polling, or political dynamics, I cannot assess the likelihood of a Democratic win there. Connecticut has historically leaned Democratic, but the absence of relevant data means I must treat this as highly uncertain. The articles are off-topic for this specific race, so I stay near 0.5, reflecting a lack of evidence rather than a strong prediction. Aljazeera articleGuardian articleNYT CanPost SeekingNYT TopPost Democrat

Articles in the pack

  1. Aljazeera article — Key takeaways from US Senate debate in Michigan between El-Sayed, Rogers
  2. Guardian article — Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the US Senate since 1932. Will that change in November?
  3. NYT Can — Can Democrats Win Back the Senate? Why Their Chances Are Improving.
  4. Post Seeking — Seeking to flip Senate, Democrats are running ads to criticize their own
  5. NYT Top — Top Democratic Group Pumps Millions Into Kansas Senate Race
  6. Post Democrat — Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate battle, poll finds