No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by September 30?

The only relevant article reports that the Fed raised rates by 25 bps on September 16 and that futures markets price about a 50% chance of another hike in October Reuters article. This directly suggests that the 'Hike 25 bps' option and the 'No change' option are roughly equally likely in the near term, making a sustained 4-hour run of 'No change' odds above 'Hike 25 bps' odds a coin flip. The article does not provide any specific hourly odds data from PredictionMarketOdds.com, nor does it indicate any strong divergence between the two outcomes. Given the 50% market pricing, the probability of the 'No change' option being consistently higher for four consecutive hours is approximately 0.5, though the exact hourly dynamics could shift this slightly. Since the evidence is balanced and no other articles provide additional clarity, I stay near the midpoint.