Will another party win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?

The question asks whether a party other than the incumbent United Russia will win the most seats in the 2026 Pskov Oblast parliamentary elections. The only article provided Ground article reports a meeting between President Putin and Governor Vedernikov, focusing on positive socioeconomic indicators such as industrial growth, agricultural production, and low unemployment. This suggests strong incumbent performance and likely continued public support for the ruling party. No article mentions any opposition party gaining ground, electoral challenges, or changes in the political landscape. In Russia's current political environment, United Russia has dominated regional elections, and the absence of any contrary evidence in the provided sources makes an opposition victory highly unlikely. However, because the election is still over a year away and unforeseen events could shift dynamics, a small probability remains. Thus, the probability of another party winning is estimated at 0.08.