Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont

The question asks whether the Democratic party will win the Vermont governorship in the 2028 election. The articles provide context about the 2024 and 2026 elections, but do not directly address the 2028 race. Article AP article notes that Republican Governor Phil Scott has won five previous attempts against Democrats and received 73% of the vote in 2024, making him a formidable incumbent. He is unopposed for the Republican nomination in the 2026 primary, suggesting he may run again in 2028. Article Aljazeera article mentions two Democrats running in the 2026 primary to challenge Scott, but does not indicate a strong chance of victory. The articles do not provide any evidence of a shift in Vermont's political landscape that would make a Democratic win in 2028 likely. Given Scott's popularity and the lack of information about the 2028 election, the probability of a Democratic win is low, but not impossible, as circumstances could change. Thus, a probability of 0.15 is appropriate.