WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 9?

The question asks whether WTI crude oil will close above $99 on September 9, 2026. The resolution criteria are detailed and rely on Pyth data for the active month contract. The provided news articles describe U.S. military strikes on three Iranian oil tankers Reuters articleNYT articleFT article. While such geopolitical events can cause short-term oil price spikes, the question is set over two years in the future (September 2026). The articles do not provide any information about current or projected WTI prices, nor do they indicate that prices are near $99. Without any price data or forecasts, the probability of a specific price threshold being met on a specific future date is extremely low. Historical WTI prices have rarely exceeded $99, and such an event would require extraordinary and sustained market conditions. Given the lack of relevant price information and the long time horizon, the probability is assessed as very low.