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The provided article is a Gallup poll about election integrity trust and does not contain any information about the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election, its candidates, or polling. Without any relevant data on the likely margin of victory, I cannot assess whether the Republican candidate will win by 50% or more. Idaho is a strongly Republican state, and Republican gubernatorial candidates have historically won by large margins, but the article provides no evidence to support a specific probability. Given the lack of relevant information, the probability remains near 0.5, reflecting uncertainty rather than a confident forecast. The article is cited only to show it was reviewed, but it does not inform the outcome Aljazeera article.
Articles in the pack
- Aljazeera article — US Republicans, independents express low trust in election integrity: Poll