Who will win the next New York City mayoral election?

The question asks whether Zohran Mamdani will win the next New York City mayoral election. The resolution criteria specify that the market resolves to Yes only if Mamdani wins. The provided articles discuss Mamdani's campaign activities and a lawsuit against him, but neither provides any evidence that he is likely to win. Article NYT article reports that Governor Hochul advised Mamdani to focus on New York City, which suggests he is a candidate but does not indicate electoral strength or polling leads. Article Guardian article describes a lawsuit from a business coalition opposing his plan for city-owned grocery stores, which could indicate political opposition but not necessarily a decisive electoral disadvantage. There is no information about other candidates, voter preferences, or any forecast of the election outcome. Without any data showing Mamdani as the frontrunner or likely winner, the probability of him winning is very low. Given the lack of supportive evidence, a probability of 0.02 is appropriate, reflecting a near-certain No outcome based on the available information.