Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?

The question asks whether fewer than 20 ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz in a week. The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints, with normal daily transits numbering in the dozens to over a hundred. Article 1 reports that Iran has been blockading the strait since late February 2026, causing disruptions and oil price spikes. However, the same article states that Iran and Oman recently agreed on a shipping route, mine clearing, and short-term management of the strait, and that Iran is meeting with Gulf states on Monday to discuss the strait's security and navigation. This indicates active diplomatic efforts to restore normal traffic. Even under a blockade, it is highly unlikely that total weekly transits would fall below 20, as some military, humanitarian, or sanctioned commercial traffic would still pass. The blockade described is not a complete closure but a disruption. Given the ongoing talks and the agreement on a shipping route, the probability of fewer than 20 transits is extremely low. The cited article Aljazeera article provides the basis for this assessment, while article Reuters article is not directly relevant to transit counts.