Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?

The question asks whether Democrats will win fewer than 8 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterms. New Jersey currently has 12 House seats, and Democrats have historically held a majority of them (currently 9 Democrats vs. 3 Republicans after the 2024 election). The resolution criteria are clear: count only the 2026 regular House elections in New Jersey, attribute seats by the party of the elected member, and exclude special elections. The provided news articles are almost entirely off-topic: Guardian article discusses a billionaire critic of Trump and the 2026 midterms generally, but gives no New Jersey seat-by-seat analysis; Post article is an opinion piece about national House seat forecasts, not state-specific; smh.com.au article covers Elon Musk's Pentagon commission and privatization, unrelated to New Jersey House races. None of the articles provide any concrete polling, candidate information, redistricting details, or historical trends for New Jersey's 12 districts. Without any relevant data, I cannot confidently predict a shift of more than one or two seats. A Democratic loss of 4 or more seats (to fewer than 8) would require a major national wave against them, which is possible but not established by these sources. Conversely, maintaining 8 or more seats is the status quo, but the 2026 environment is uncertain. Given the lack of relevant evidence, the probability should remain near the middle, reflecting genuine uncertainty. I set it at 0.5, as the articles neither support nor refute the claim.