Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

The question asks whether the CDU will win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections. The provided article DW article discusses the CDU's candidate, Sven Schulze, who is the state premier and the CDU's candidate for the upcoming regional election in September. The article focuses on his warnings against the AfD, indicating that the CDU is actively campaigning and positioning itself as a major contender. However, the article does not provide specific polling data or seat projections, nor does it mention the relative strength of other parties like the AfD, SPD, or Greens. Given that the CDU currently holds the state premiership and is a major party in Germany, it is plausible that they could finish second, but the AfD has been strong in eastern Germany, and the CDU might also be competing for first place. Without detailed polling or historical context from the articles, the evidence is thin but suggests the CDU is a significant player. The resolution criteria are clear, but the news article does not settle the question, so a moderate probability is appropriate. The article DW article is the only source, and it does not provide enough data to make an extreme call, hence a 0.65 probability leaning towards YES but with uncertainty.