Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Senate General Election be above 7800000?

The question asks whether the total vote count in the Florida Senate General Election will exceed 7,800,000. The only directly relevant article Ground article describes how Ron DeSantis' administration has enacted laws that tighten vote-by-mail restrictions and make voter registration harder, which could suppress turnout. Additionally, the article notes that Republican voter registrations now outnumber Democratic ones by 1.5 million, suggesting a less competitive environment that might reduce overall turnout compared to a highly competitive race. Historical turnout in Florida Senate races rarely reaches such high numbers; for example, the 2018 Senate race had about 8.2 million votes, but that was a high-turnout midterm with a competitive gubernatorial race. Since 2026 is a midterm year without a presidential race, and given the restrictive voting laws, turnout is likely lower. The 7.8 million threshold is very high—only the 2018 and 2020 elections exceeded it in Florida. Without any article indicating a surge in turnout or a highly competitive Senate race, it is unlikely to reach that level. Therefore, the probability is low, around 0.15.