Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 05 House General Election be above 220000?

The question asks whether the total vote count in Alabama's 5th Congressional District general election will exceed 220,000. The only directly relevant article Reuters article notes that incumbent Republican Dale Strong will face Democrat Andrew Sneed in the November 3, 2026 general election, and that the Republican primary was canceled, allowing Strong to advance without appearing on the ballot. This suggests a relatively low-turnout, low-competition race typical of a safe Republican seat. Historical turnout in Alabama's 5th District for midterm general elections (e.g., 2022) was around 200,000–210,000 votes total. The 220,000 threshold is slightly above recent norms. No other articles BBC articleAP ThirdAP JaredAP Pete provide any data on Alabama 5th District turnout or voter enthusiasm. Given the lack of any reported surge in registration, competitive dynamics, or high-profile spending, it is more likely than not that turnout remains below 220,000. However, without official certified results or strong evidence of a turnout spike, the probability is not extremely low. I assign a moderate NO lean.