Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2029 be above 0.0%?

The question asks about U.S. current-dollar GDP growth for 2029, which is a nominal measure that almost always grows in positive territory even during recessions, because it includes inflation. The provided articles are largely about Canada, the UK, Germany, and general GDP measurement critiques, not directly about U.S. 2029 GDP Ground JulyGround HighReuters PRATIME articleGround CanadaReuters German. None of them suggest a scenario where U.S. nominal GDP would contract in 2029. Historically, U.S. current-dollar GDP has only declined in rare severe downturns (e.g., 2009), and even then the decline was modest. For 2029, there is no evidence of such a collapse. The articles about high interest rates and stagnation risk refer to other countries and near-term quarters, not a multi-year U.S. nominal contraction Ground High. Given the resolution criteria rely on BEA's published annual percent change, and nominal GDP is structurally positive due to inflation, the probability of a YES is very high. However, because the articles do not directly address U.S. 2029 data and there is a small tail risk of an unprecedented deflationary depression, I set the probability at 0.95 rather than 0.99.