WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?

The question asks whether WTI crude oil will close above $100 on September 10, 2026. The provided articles discuss oil prices approaching $100 and supply disruptions, but they do not provide specific price levels or forecasts for that exact date. Article FT article mentions oil 'closes in on $100' and a 'renewed supply crunch looms,' suggesting upward pressure but not a definitive breakout above $100. Article Reuters article questions why oil is not above $100 despite disruptions, indicating that current prices are below that threshold and that there are factors limiting further increases. Neither article provides a concrete prediction for September 10, 2026, nor do they cite any data or analysis that would strongly support a close above $100 on that date. Given the lack of specific evidence and the general uncertainty about future oil prices, a moderate probability is warranted. The articles suggest some bullish sentiment but also highlight reasons prices may stay below $100, leading to a probability below 0.5. I assign 0.35, reflecting a leaning toward 'No' but with significant uncertainty.