Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag?

The question asks whether the Alternative for Germany (AfD) will win the next German Bundestag election, defined as winning the most seats. The available news articles provide context about the party's regional strength and internal challenges, but none indicate that AfD is currently leading in national polls or on track to win a plurality of seats. Article 1 discusses AfD's ambitions in one eastern German state, which is far from a national victory. Article 3 highlights the party's 'Maga problem' and internal divisions, suggesting obstacles to broadening its appeal. Articles 4, 5, and 6 focus on budget and pension matters, with no direct relevance to AfD's electoral prospects. No article provides evidence of AfD leading national polls or having a realistic path to winning the most seats in the Bundestag. Given the lack of supporting evidence and the significant structural and political barriers AfD faces, the probability of a Yes outcome is low.