Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?

The question asks whether Democrats will win fewer than 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections. Ohio currently has 15 House seats, and after the 2022 redistricting, the map is heavily gerrymandered in favor of Republicans, with Democrats holding only 2 seats (out of 15) in the current Congress. The 2026 election is still two years away, and while national trends could shift, the structural advantage for Republicans in Ohio is significant. The articles do not specifically address Ohio's district-level dynamics, but they provide context on the national environment. Article Ground article notes that Republicans are looking to turn the tables in some House districts, suggesting they are competitive even in a potentially favorable year for Democrats. Article NYT article warns that the election could be more complicated for Democrats than polls suggest, implying that Democratic gains may be limited. Article abc.net.au article mentions Democrats could flip the House nationally, but that does not guarantee gains in Ohio, where the map is unfavorable. Article Guardian article discusses voters returning to Democrats over Gaza, but this is focused on Michigan, not Ohio. Given the current 2-seat baseline and the difficulty of flipping Republican-held seats in Ohio, it is unlikely that Democrats would fall below 2 seats, but it is not impossible if a national Republican wave occurs. However, the articles do not provide strong evidence for such a wave. Therefore, the probability is low but not negligible.