Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be less than 2,100,000?

The question asks whether total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado will be less than 2,100,000. The provided articles focus on the 2024 Colorado primary elections, specifically the upset victory of Melat Kiros over incumbent Diana DeGette in a House district, and the gubernatorial primary win by Phil Weiser over Senator Michael Bennet Aljazeera DemocraticAljazeera Colorado. These articles do not contain any data or projections about the 2026 Senate election, voter turnout, or total vote counts for that race. Without any relevant information on the 2026 Senate election, the available evidence is essentially silent on the question. However, historical turnout in Colorado Senate elections has often exceeded 2.1 million votes in recent cycles (e.g., 2022 Senate race had over 2.4 million votes). Given the lack of contrary evidence and the general trend of high turnout in Colorado, it is more likely than not that the total votes will exceed 2.1 million, making the answer NO. But because the articles provide no direct support, the probability is moderate rather than extreme. The resolution criteria also note that if results are not known by March 31, 2027, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket, which would be YES (less than 2,100,000). This adds a small chance of a default YES, further moderating the probability. Overall, the evidence is thin, so the estimate leans toward NO but not strongly.