Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?

The question asks whether Argentina's annual inflation will be below 20% for the 12 months ending December 2026. The available articles provide limited direct data on 2026 inflation. Article Aljazeera article reports poverty data for the first half of 2026 but does not give an inflation figure. Article Ground article quotes a JP Morgan executive expecting inflation to fall to 20%-21% in 2027, which implies that inflation in 2026 is likely still above 20%, and only by 2027 might it approach the 20% threshold. This suggests that the target of under 20% for 2026 is not yet assured and may be slightly out of reach. Article iview.abc.net.au article discusses inflation and interest rates but provides no specific numbers. Given the projection of 20%-21% for 2027, it is plausible that 2026 inflation could be slightly higher, making the probability of being under 20% less than even. However, the articles do not provide a definitive forecast for 2026, so the probability is not extremely low. I estimate a 35% chance that inflation will be below 20% by December 2026, leaning toward NO but with meaningful uncertainty.