US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

The provided news articles do not contain any direct reporting on new US sanctions against China. Article smh.com.au article focuses on the economic struggles of gig workers in Beijing, which is unrelated to US sanctions policy. Article AFR Trump discusses the broader US-China foreign policy divide but does not mention any specific sanctions actions. Article AFR Why notes that Chinese business leaders skipped a US visit due to a perception of being unwelcome, but this is not evidence of new sanctions. Given the lack of any relevant information in the articles, the probability must remain near the neutral 0.5 baseline. The question asks about a specific event (new US sanctions by September 30, 2026) that is not addressed in any of the cited sources, so I cannot confidently predict either outcome. The resolution criteria are broad and include many types of sanctions, but without any news indicating a concrete development, the probability stays at 0.5.