Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 45% or more?

The question asks for a very specific and extreme outcome: the Republican winning Utah's 4th Congressional District by 45% or more in 2026. The only provided article is about a Trump rally in Ohio and general midterm dynamics, with no data on Utah's 4th district, its candidates, or any polling. Utah's 4th district is generally Republican-leaning but not overwhelmingly so; it has been competitive in recent cycles, with Democrats winning it in 2018 and Republicans winning by single digits in 2020 and 2022. A 45-point margin would require a near-total collapse of Democratic support and a massive Republican wave, which is not supported by any evidence in the article. The article actually notes that polls suggest Democrats could gain ground in the midterms, and that Trump's approval is falling due to economic issues, which would argue against a huge Republican margin. Given the lack of district-specific information and the extreme threshold, the probability is very low, but not zero, because Utah is a red state and a perfect storm could produce a large margin. I set it at 0.08, reflecting a strong NO but not an impossibility, as the article does not settle the question and the pack is thin on relevant data.