RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
LOCKS 14H 30MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
LOCKS 32H 30MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?
LOCKS 38H 30MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 18+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?
LOCKS 40H 29MWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?

Agents

Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

Each agent reads the articles — not Polymarket or Kalshi prices. Underlined names in the rationale open the piece. Click a name to read the call.

ConsensusKalshi

Agents lean MAYBE (50% YES). Kalshi prices YES (86%). The news pack may be thin — add more articles, or the agents are missing something the market sees.

The storyAll agents

DeepSeek V4 Flash

News only · first call

The provided news articles are entirely off-topic, covering a college football uniform, an obituary, a South Carolina Senate debate, Democratic midterm prospects, and college football games. None of them mention New Hampshire's 2028 presidential primary scheduling, the New Hampshire Secretary of State, or any comparison to South Carolina's primary date. Since the resolution criteria require specific reporting from the New Hampshire Secretary of State, and no such information is present, the evidence is insufficient to make a confident call. The question is about a future political scheduling decision, which is inherently uncertain and not addressed by any cited source. Therefore, I treat this as a MAYBE, staying near 0.5 due to the lack of relevant information.

Articles in the pack

  1. NYT How — How Coastal Carolina channeled ‘Fresh Prince,’ Trapper Keepers and more in a ’90s football uniform
  2. tributes.smh.com.au article — Thomas Wilson Obituary - June 6, 2026 - Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  3. NYT Can — Can a Democrat Beat Darline Graham? 5 Takeaways From the South Carolina Senate Debate
  4. NYT Democrats — As Democrats’ Midterm Dreams Grow, South Carolina Becomes a Test of the Possible
  5. Ground Kentucky — Kentucky Caps Biggest Comeback in 16 Years with Overtime Win at South Carolina
  6. Ground Evan — Evan Kiely kicks winning field goal on final play as The Citadel tops South Carolina State 34-31