Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?

The question asks whether Chinda Kingsley Ogundu will win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election. The news articles indicate that Kingsley Chinda was selected as the APC governorship candidate in a primary that has been invalidated by a court ruling. Specifically, the reinstated APC faction led by Emeke Beke declared all nominations from the primaries invalid, including Chinda's, because the primaries were conducted by a leadership that had been nullified by the courts BBC Kingsley. This means Chinda's candidacy is currently in doubt and he may not even be the APC flagbearer. Furthermore, the political landscape is highly volatile: Governor Fubara initially withdrew from the APC primary but later appeared for screening, suggesting he might still contest BBC APCBBC APC. The articles also describe a deep political crisis, including impeachment proceedings against Fubara, which could alter the political alignment BBC FubaraBBC FubaraBBC Fubara. Given that Chinda's nomination has been invalidated and the APC candidate is uncertain, his chances of winning the gubernatorial election are very low. The articles do not provide any evidence of Chinda's popularity or support beyond being Wike's ally, and the party crisis undermines his position. Therefore, the probability of Chinda winning is extremely low, near 0.02.