Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000?

The question asks whether total votes cast in the 2026 Illinois Senate election will be less than 3,250,000. The articles only cover the Democratic primary, not the general election, and provide no vote totals or turnout figures. Illinois is a large state with a history of high turnout in presidential years, but midterm Senate races typically see lower turnout. The 2020 Senate race in Illinois had about 5.4 million votes, while the 2022 midterm Senate race had about 4.1 million votes. A 2026 midterm with an open seat and competitive dynamics could plausibly fall below 3.25 million if turnout is depressed, but the articles do not provide any data to confirm this. Given the lack of direct evidence, I lean slightly toward YES because midterm turnout in non-presidential years is often lower, and the open seat may not generate exceptional enthusiasm. However, the uncertainty is high, so the probability is moderate rather than extreme. The articles are relevant only for confirming the election is happening and the primary outcome, not for vote totals Aljazeera ProAljazeera Israel.