Will another party win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?

The question asks whether a party other than the current dominant party will win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections scheduled for September 20, 2026. The provided article AP article reports on the most recent election held in September 2026, where United Russia won 37 of the 45 seats, a commanding majority, while the Communist Party finished second with only three seats. This indicates that United Russia has overwhelming dominance in the region, with no other party coming close to winning the greatest number of seats. The resolution criteria specify that the market resolves based on the party winning the most seats, and the article shows United Russia achieving that. Although the article describes the election as occurring amid drone attacks and border tensions, the outcome was a clear victory for United Russia. There is no information suggesting any other party has a realistic chance of surpassing United Russia in the next election, given the current political landscape and the party's strong performance. Therefore, the probability that another party wins is very low.