Will Democrats win fewer than 4 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

The question asks whether Democrats will win fewer than 4 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterms. Colorado currently has 8 House seats, and Democrats have held a majority of them in recent cycles (e.g., 4-4 split after 2022, with Democrats winning 5 in 2020). The 2026 election is still two years away, and no specific Colorado polling or redistricting changes are mentioned in the provided articles. Article Guardian article discusses Democratic priorities if they win Congress, but does not address Colorado seat counts. Article NYT article notes that district-level races may not follow national trends, but again provides no Colorado-specific data. Without any evidence of a dramatic shift in Colorado's political landscape, the baseline expectation is that Democrats will likely win at least 4 seats, as they have in recent elections. The probability of winning fewer than 4 is low, but not impossible given potential redistricting or a strong Republican wave. Thus, a probability of 0.2 reflects a clear NO (less than 0.45) but not an extreme call, as the articles do not settle the question.