Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31?

The question asks whether the USD will be less than 2.3 million Iranian rials on October 31, 2026. The resolution criteria specify using the Bonbast free-market rate, where 1 toman = 10 rials. Multiple recent articles show the rial has already fallen well below the 2.3 million threshold. Article Reuters Iranian reports that on October 4, 2026, the dollar traded at 2.723 million rials on the open market, and the central bank's intervention at 2.57 million rials failed to halt the slide. Article Ground article states the rial exceeded 2.5 million rials per dollar, hitting an all-time low. Article TIME article confirms free-market rates surpassed 2.6 million IRR per USD amid new U.S. sanctions and a naval blockade. Article Reuters Iranians highlights 89.8% annual inflation and 127.5% food price increases, indicating severe economic pressure that will likely continue to weaken the currency. Given that the rial is already trading far above 2.3 million rials per dollar (i.e., more rials per dollar means the rial is weaker), and the trend is sharply downward with no reversal in sight, it is virtually certain that on October 31, 2026, the rate will remain above 2.3 million rials per dollar. Therefore, the answer to 'Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials?' is YES, because a weaker rial means more rials are needed to buy one dollar, so the USD price in rials is higher than 2.3 million. The probability is set at 0.99, reflecting near-certainty based on the reported facts.