Will Marie-Claude Sarrazin win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?

The question asks whether Marie-Claude Sarrazin will win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election, scheduled for October 5, 2026. The only article provided CBC article mentions Sarrazin as a Parti Québécois (PQ) candidate criticizing Premier Christine Fréchette over an IT project overrun. However, the article does not provide any polling data, electoral history, or specific evidence that Sarrazin is likely to win the Groulx riding. Without information on the incumbent, voter trends, or the PQ's standing in that district, the available facts are insufficient to support a high probability of victory. The article shows Sarrazin is active and critical of the government, but that alone does not indicate electoral success. Given the lack of substantive electoral evidence, the probability must be very low, reflecting the absence of any reported advantage or favorable conditions for her candidacy.