Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?

The only directly relevant article indicates that Kamala Harris is considering a run for California Governor, but it frames this as one option among several, with a decision deadline of the end of summer and a note that a gubernatorial win would likely preclude a 2028 presidential run Politico article. This suggests the governor bid is a serious but not certain possibility, and the article does not report any formal announcement or filing. The second article is an autopsy of her 2024 loss and provides no information about her future plans Aljazeera article. Given the resolution criteria explicitly state that FEC filings alone do not resolve the market, and there is no evidence of a definitive commitment, the probability leans toward NO but remains in a moderate range because the reported consideration is substantive and the timeline (before Nov 4, 2027) is long. The lack of any confirmation of an actual run, combined with the strategic trade-off against a 2028 presidential bid, keeps the probability below 0.5 but not extremely low.