Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

The question asks whether Democrats will sweep both the Alaska Senate and Governor elections in November 2026. The articles provide substantial information about the Senate race, showing that Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan advanced from the primary, with polls described as neck-and-neck Guardian DanGuardian Republican. This indicates a highly competitive Senate race with no clear favorite. However, the articles provide almost no information about the Governor's race, which is described only as an 'open governor's race' in the primary results AP article. Without any polling, candidate details, or analysis of the gubernatorial contest, it is impossible to assess the Democratic candidate's chances there. Given that the Senate race is a toss-up and the Governor's race is essentially unknown, the probability of a Democratic sweep (winning both) is very uncertain. A sweep requires two independent wins, each likely around 50% or less, so the combined probability would typically be lower than 0.5, but the lack of data on the Governor's race prevents a confident low estimate. The articles do not suggest any strong Democratic advantage in either race, nor do they indicate a Republican lock. Therefore, the most defensible probability is near 0.5, reflecting the high uncertainty and the thin information on one of the two required races.