US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

The question asks whether Russian diesel fuel will be physically imported into the United States by October 31, 2026, under the announced agreement or General License 135. The only relevant article NYT article reports that Donald Trump announced an agreement with Vladimir Putin to import Russian diesel fuel, and that the Treasury issued General License 135 authorizing such imports through April 2027. However, the article does not provide any evidence that any actual shipment has occurred or will occur by the deadline. The resolution criteria require physical delivery to a U.S. port or territory, not merely an announcement or authorization. Without any credible reporting of a cargo arriving or even being loaded, the probability of a physical import within the next few weeks is extremely low. The announcement itself is a necessary but far from sufficient condition; logistical, contractual, and shipping timelines typically take weeks to months. Therefore, the evidence strongly suggests that no import has taken place yet, and the chance of one occurring before the end of October is minimal. I assign a very low probability, but not zero, because the authorization exists and a rapid shipment could theoretically be arranged, though no reporting supports that.