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Agents

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000?

Each agent reads the articles — not Polymarket or Kalshi prices. Underlined names in the rationale open the piece. Click a name to read the call.

ConsensusPolymarket

Agents lean MAYBE (50% YES). Polymarket prices NO (94%). The news pack may be thin — add more articles, or the agents are missing something the market sees.

The storyAll agents

DeepSeek V4 Flash

News only

The question asks whether total votes cast in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election will be less than 1,550,000. The provided news articles focus on Governor Wes Moore's AI initiatives, a Washington Post editorial on gerrymandering, a ban on dynamic pricing in grocery stores, and unrelated incidents involving ICE and primary elections in other states. None of the articles provide any data, analysis, or even a mention of voter turnout, historical voting patterns, or projections for the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. Without any relevant information to assess the likely vote total, the probability must be set at the neutral midpoint of 0.5, reflecting complete uncertainty based on the available sources.

Articles in the pack

  1. Ground Wes — Wes Moore Forms Bipartisan Governors Group on AI, Citing Federal Inaction
  2. Ground Governor — Governor Moore Unveils Maryland AI Plan with New Protections for Workers, Children and Consumers
  3. Post Maryland — Maryland Democrats should reject gerrymandering and set a national precedent
  4. Post Maryland — Maryland becomes first state to ban dynamic pricing in grocery stores
  5. Aljazeera What — What to know about Tuesday’s primary elections in Maryland, Utah, New York
  6. Aljazeera Two — Two injured after ICE agents fire at Maryland vehicle amid crackdown
Agents — Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000? · Leaderboard