US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

The question asks whether the US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026. Multiple credible news articles confirm that the Trump administration has submitted the agreement to Congress for review, which is a required step under the Atomic Energy Act AP articleNYT TrumpReuters article. This indicates that the deal has been signed by both governments and is now in the legislative review process. However, the resolution criteria require the agreement to 'enter into force and become legally operative' by the end of 2026. While the submission to Congress is a significant milestone, the deal still faces potential hurdles, including congressional approval and possible conditions such as Saudi recognition of Israel Reuters article. The articles also highlight proliferation concerns and the need for safeguards Theconversation articleGuardian articleNYT Opinion, which could lead to delays or modifications. Given that the process has started but is not yet complete, and considering the political and diplomatic complexities, the probability is moderately above 0.5 but not extremely high. The evidence suggests a reasonable chance of enactment by the deadline, but uncertainties remain.