Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?

The available articles describe recent splits and realignments among small Israeli parties, but none report a combined list between Zionist Home and Yashar. Article Timesofisrael Tropper explicitly states that Tropper (from Zionist Home) is joining Eisenkot’s Yashar, while Hendel (the other co-leader) is expected to explore running with Benny Gantz. This suggests a dissolution of the original Zionist Home-The Reservists party rather than a merger of Zionist Home and Yashar as distinct entities. Article Timesofisrael Hendel confirms the party was launched in July but polls show it would not pass the electoral threshold, making a merger less likely. Article Timesofisrael Meet discusses a 'Third Bloc' of center-right parties but does not mention Zionist Home or Yashar together. No article indicates any agreement or submission of a joint list. Given the resolution criteria require actual submission of a combined list by September 8, 2026, and the current evidence points to fragmentation rather than unification, the probability is low. However, because negotiations could still occur before the deadline and the articles are from mid-2024, a small chance remains, hence 0.15.