Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?

The question asks whether Donald Trump will endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli election. The only relevant article NYT article reports that Trump publicly criticized an Israeli official, which is not an endorsement of any party. The article also notes that Trump's standing among Israelis has declined, with only 7% expressing great confidence in him. This suggests that an endorsement of Likud is less likely, as Trump may be distancing himself from Israeli leadership. However, the article does not provide any direct evidence of an endorsement or lack thereof for Likud. Given the lack of specific information about Trump's future endorsements and the negative tone of the article, the probability is assessed as moderately low but not extremely low, as Trump could still endorse Likud for strategic reasons. The absence of any other articles means the evidence is thin, so the probability is kept below 0.5 but not near 0.01.