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The call on this storyLocks in 84d 4h
Will any country expel an ambassador by December 31?
1 called itfrom Polymarket
Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 2H 50MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 3H 55MWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 26H 50MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 28H 49MWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 3, 2026?
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 2H 50MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 3H 55MWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 26H 50MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 28H 49MWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 3, 2026?
