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The call on this storyLocks in 22d 19h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 by 40% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
LOCKS 11H 6MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
LOCKS 11H 6MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?
LOCKS 29H 7MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?
LOCKS 31H 6MWill Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
LOCKS 11H 6MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
LOCKS 11H 6MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?
LOCKS 29H 7MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?
LOCKS 31H 6MWill Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
