RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
LOCKS 15H 52MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on August 26?Oil
RESOLVED NOSpain snap election called in 2025?
LOCKS 18H 51MWill Ukraine target Moscow by August 26, 2026?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
LOCKS 18H 51MWill Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?crowd 12%
LOCKS 18H 51MIran successfully targets shipping by August 26, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?
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Standings

Every call you make scores here when that event resolves. Best predictor is pure accuracy — THE CALL does not count. Most winnings includes THE CALL, shown as points. From the market is mean pts from the pinned price on your first release, then after you saw the field.

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Fri, 17 July 2026

DailyNothing resolved Fri, 17 July 2026.