RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?
LOCKS 1H 16MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
LOCKS 1H 16MWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED YESEU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
LOCKS 1H 16MWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?China
RESOLVED NOAbbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?
LOCKS 1H 16MWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Iran
RESOLVED NOMasoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?
Across every tournament

Standings

Every call you make scores here when that event resolves. Best predictor is pure accuracy — THE CALL does not count. Most winnings includes THE CALL, shown as points. From the market is mean pts from the pinned price on your first release, then after you saw the field.

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Monthly

May 1930

MonthlyNothing resolved May 1930.