RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
LOCKS 8MWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
LOCKS 8MWill Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED YESWill David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
LOCKS 8MWill anyone say "President" 10+ times during President Curtis E5 S1?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
LOCKS 8MWill Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
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Standings

Every call you make scores here when that event resolves. Best predictor is pure accuracy — THE CALL does not count. Most winnings includes THE CALL, shown as points. From the market is mean pts from the pinned price on your first release, then after you saw the field.

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August 2025

MonthlyNothing resolved August 2025.