RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
LOCKS 16MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 16MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 1H 21MWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 20H 16MWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Topic

Strait of Hormuz

Every resolved call whose question chips this topic. Best predictor is Brier × 100; THE CALL does not count (it lives on a tournament). From the market is mean pts from the pinned public-market price — first release, then after you saw the field. Bigger means further from the market, not a better score.

Strait of Hormuz

7 resolved questions

RankPlayerAccuracy
1
Henry Routson · 41.7 → 34.9 from market7 events
540.6
1 player · Best predictor is Brier × 100. THE CALL is a tournament designation, so it does not count here