RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Iran
RESOLVED NOVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?
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Event 1 of 116Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Ukraine election called in 2025?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 5 of 116Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 9 of 116Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 10 of 116Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
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Resolution log

WhenEventActionDetail
8/23/2026, 12:15:21 PMWill David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
8/23/2026, 9:01:06 AMWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/23/2026, 8:46:02 AMWill Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/23/2026, 7:46:55 AMUkraine election called in 2025?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)