RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 45MWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 23H 40MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 25H 39MWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 25H 39MWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 3, 2026?
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Event 89 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Discussion →
Event 19 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 1%
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 70 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 153 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 84 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Discussion →
Event 194 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 32 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Byron Donalds win at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 68 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 206 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 31 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Click Bishop place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.Discussion →
Event 178 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Augusto Cury win less than 1% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 54 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 141 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 100 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Discussion →
Event 28 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 174 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 38 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026. For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if: • They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat • They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat • They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus) Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market. This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Discussion →
Event 101 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Discussion →
Event 79 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 204 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Kelly Lazo de la Vega win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 139 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 109 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 113 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Kalshimarket 50%
Will Jim Justice announce a run for Governor of West Virginia before Oct 1, 2026?If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Oct 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Jim Justice must publicly announce his campaign for the announcement to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for Governor of West Virginia in 2028. An exploratory committee, statement of interest, private decision, or third-party speculation without a formal announcement does NOT qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts. The announcement must come from Jim Justice or his official campaign.Discussion →
Event 123 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).Discussion →
Event 8 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Kevin Batdorf win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Discussion →
Event 200 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 148 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 142 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 3 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 51 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Discussion →
Event 177 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 188 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Grand Island, Nebraska on October 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-grand-island-nebraska-president-donald-j-trump/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Nebraska on October 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfDiscussion →
Event 215 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Vincent Marissal win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 16 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 5 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 160 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 14 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Discussion →
Event 7 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Discussion →
Event 179 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 97 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 0-2%?Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins". If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Discussion →
Event 186 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will PL hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the second-greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election. The named parties and electoral federations will be primarily ranked by the number of seats held in the specified election. If two or more entities are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each entity, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If entities remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed abbreviations. This market will resolve to the entity that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).Discussion →
Event 125 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 196 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 73 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?The 2026 Hannover Region presidential election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the president of the Hannover Region. A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives at least half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next president of the Hannover Region as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder regional presidents appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Region Hannover and the relevant election authorities of Lower Saxony.Discussion →
Event 66 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 213 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 208 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 88 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Discussion →
Event 85 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Discussion →
Event 60 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Andrew Blamey win the next Mulka by-election?A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Discussion →
Event 137 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Cidônio Gonçalves win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 202 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 102 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Democratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on September 25, 2026 is below 60%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for the Democratic Party for the specified window, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing the Democratic Party from the listing, this market will resolve based on the most recent hourly odds value published for the Democratic Party before that point. If no hourly odds value has been published for the Democratic Party between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market may remain open until October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and will resolve according to the first window after the specified window for which an hourly odds value is published for the Democratic Party. If no such value is published by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest listed range. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve to the highest listed range if the Democratic Party is the outcome of the underlying market, and otherwise to the lowest listed range. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on the Democratic Party's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.Discussion →
Event 4 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.Discussion →
Event 22 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 1082 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September. This market will resolve according to the number of Democratic Senate incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections. An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason. Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time of their nominating election. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus prior to the conclusion of the relevant nominating election. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant nominating elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on official state certification of the nominating election results.Discussion →
Event 192 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 1010 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Spain snap election called in 2026?This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 129 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Alexandre Fleming win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 12 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 136 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Carlos Cley win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 121 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 17 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 18 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority?Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Adilet party wins at least 73 seats in the Kurultai as a result of the 2026 Kazakh legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Discussion →
Event 6 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 150 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 53 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will CDU win fewer than 17 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Discussion →
Event 92 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Discussion →
Event 93 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 10% or more?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a party other than AfD or SPD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins". If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Discussion →
Event 120 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 61 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 211 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 199 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Frédéric Côté win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 216 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 56 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 182 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 147 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 24 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 58 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Discussion →
Event 10 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 1002 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026. This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections. No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026. A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.Discussion →
Event 9 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 11 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 39 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Braeden Caley win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election?A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of North Vancouver—Capilano is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Discussion →
Event 80 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Discussion →
Event 135 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 78 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Discussion →
Event 117 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Latvian Saeima as a result of the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centrālā vēlēšanu komisija, CVK) (https://www.cvk.lv/).Discussion →
Event 26 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Spain snap election called in 2025?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 212 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 34 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by at least 15%?The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 43 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will UPND win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.Discussion →
Event 167 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 33 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament). This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election. If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time. In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Discussion →
Event 29 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Gentner Drummond win the Oklahoma Republican Governor primary runoff by at least 25%?Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 64 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 94 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win fewer than 25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Discussion →
Event 65 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 48 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Discussion →
Event 350 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25?This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.Discussion →
Event 44 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Discussion →
Event 71 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.Discussion →
Event 201 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 76 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?The next Göttingen mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Göttingen, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Göttingen). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Göttingen as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Göttingen, including its election office and municipal election committee.Discussion →
Event 118 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio on October 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-vandalia-ohio-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Ohio on October 3, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfDiscussion →
Event 176 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 98 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Discussion →
Event 30 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Discussion →
Event 110 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Serbia call its presidential election by September 30, 2026?On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced. A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 156 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 157 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Daniel Lemes win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 115 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Mobile, Alabama on October 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-mobile-alabama-president-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Alabama on October 2, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfDiscussion →
Event 104 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.Discussion →
Event 82 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Delaware. If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 371 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Dustin Darden win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.Discussion →
Event 83 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Delaware. If no 2026 Delaware Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 59 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by at least 40%?The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Discussion →
Event 1083 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September. This market will resolve according to the number of Republican House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections. An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason. Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of all House nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time of their nominating election. Members of the House of Representatives who are "delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant nominating elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on official state certification of the nominating election results.Discussion →
Event 52 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Discussion →
Event 175 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 74 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?The next Salzgitter mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Salzgitter, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Salzgitter). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Salzgitter as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Salzgitter, including its election office and municipal election committee.Discussion →
Event 119 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Discussion →
Event 41 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Discussion →
Event 36 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.Discussion →
Event 63 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 13 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Discussion →
Event 111 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Discussion →
Event 145 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 46 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Fatima Shaban get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Discussion →
Event 190 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 203 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 131 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 149 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 1 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Ukraine election called in 2025?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 2 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Discussion →
Event 193 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Anthony Lavoie win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 37 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).Discussion →
Event 143 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 62 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 146 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 159 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 49 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Discussion →
Event 55 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 127 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Latvia parliamentary election vote share margin of victory: AS 20%+?Parliamentary elections to elect the 100 members of the Saeima are scheduled to take place in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”. If any party other than Apvienotais saraksts (AS) wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Discussion →
Event 1001 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?This market will resolve to “Yes” if a political group (group politique) is officially formed in the French Senate that represents the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The political declaration forming a qualifying group must be published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France within the specified timeframe. A group will qualify as representing the RN if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes "Rassemblement National" or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Journal Officiel explicitly identifies the group as representing the RN; - A majority of its full members are RN party members or were assigned an RN nuance politique by the French Ministry of the Interior at the election in which they won their seat; or - RN national leadership publicly recognizes the group as the party's group in the Senate, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. A mixed group containing both RN and other senators qualifies only if it meets at least one of the criteria above. The administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market. A qualifying group must represent the National Rally. A group which represents far-right, conservative, anti-immigrant, populist, or other RN-adjacent ideas without representing the party itself will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and publications of the Official Journal of France (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/).Discussion →
Event 191 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 184 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election?The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 138 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 57 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Discussion →
Event 107 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.Discussion →
Event 77 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 207 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 214 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Valérie Hamel win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 35 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Discussion →
Event 205 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Marie-Claude Sarrazin win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 209 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 96 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Discussion →
Event 1038 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Senate (Sénat) (senat.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 40 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Discussion →
Event 95 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Discussion →
Event 133 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Beto do Movimento win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 144 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 47 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Jeff Beattie get second place in the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Discussion →
Event 114 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Democratic Senate odds <56% on October 2?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026 is below 56%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for the Democratic Party for the specified window, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing the Democratic Party from the listing, this market will resolve based on the most recent hourly odds value published for the Democratic Party before that point. If no hourly odds value has been published for the Democratic Party between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market may remain open until October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and will resolve according to the first window after the specified window for which an hourly odds value is published for the Democratic Party. If no such value is published by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest listed range. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve to the highest listed range if the Democratic Party is the outcome of the underlying market, and otherwise to the lowest listed range. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on the Democratic Party's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.Discussion →
Event 155 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 158 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Dra. Lúcia Santos win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 197 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 108 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Discussion →
Event 81 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Discussion →
Event 87 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Discussion →
Event 210 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 112 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L). For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C). Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement. If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Discussion →
Event 67 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question. If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Discussion →
Event 75 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Discussion →
Event 105 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the second greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.Discussion →
Event 130 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 25 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by at least 30%?The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Discussion →
Event 128 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Acácio Favacho win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 91 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution. The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes. If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Discussion →
Event 1060 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of British Columbia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?If the government of British Columbia calls a snap provincial election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A snap election is one called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest date legally required. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual election date. Where a province has no fixed election date in force, the reference date is the latest date on which the election is legally required, being five years from the return of the writs for that province's most recent general election A province holding its already-scheduled fixed-date election is NOT a snap election Each province's market resolves on its own call only. A snap election in one province does NOT resolve any other province's market Yes It does not matter whether the early election follows a lost confidence vote or a premier's own choiceDiscussion →
Event 45 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Discussion →
Event 72 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Discussion →
Event 116 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Discussion →
Event 195 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 180 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 198 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Discussion →
Event 189 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 126 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 181 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 50 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election. If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Discussion →
Event 185 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 162 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 124 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 1035 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Discussion →
Event 132 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Beto do Movimento win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Event 152 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 151 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 183 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 140 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 154 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Discussion →
Event 942 of 1144Resolved YESfrom Polymarketmarket 100%
Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?The 2026 Chandler mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Chandler, AZ. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Chandler as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Arizona, Maricopa County, and the City of Chandler.Discussion →
Event 217 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will the PCQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Discussion →
Event 122 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Discussion →
Event 163 of 1144Resolved NOfrom Polymarketmarket 0%
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Discussion →
Standings
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Resolution log

WhenEventActionDetail
10/7/2026, 8:15:11 AMWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 6:15:09 AMWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/7/2026, 4:00:18 AMWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 1:30:08 AMWill the PCQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 12:00:16 AMWill Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 12:00:14 AMQuebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 12:00:13 AMWill Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 12:00:13 AMWill Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/7/2026, 12:00:09 AMWill Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/7/2026, 12:00:09 AMWill Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:45:15 PMWill Frédéric Côté win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:45:14 PMWill Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:45:11 PMWill Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 11:45:11 PMWill Valérie Hamel win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:45:10 PMWill Kelly Lazo de la Vega win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:30:18 PMWill Vincent Marissal win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:30:16 PMWill Anthony Lavoie win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:30:14 PMWill Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 11:30:10 PMWill Marie-Claude Sarrazin win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 11:30:09 PMWill Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:30:09 PMWill Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 11:30:09 PMWill Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 11:15:13 PMWill Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 11:15:09 PMWill Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 8:00:14 PMWill Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 5:45:30 PMSpain snap election called in 2026?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 5:30:47 PMNational Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 5:15:09 PMWill the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 5:15:09 PMWill the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 4:00:10 PMWill the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 3:45:15 PMWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 3:15:13 PMWill Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 1:00:11 PMWill Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 12:30:12 PMWill the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 10:45:15 AMWill Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 10:15:20 AMWill CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 8:30:13 AMWill Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 7:00:12 AMWill CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 7:00:09 AMQuebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/6/2026, 6:15:14 AMWill Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 4:45:12 AMQuebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 4:15:12 AMWill Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
10/6/2026, 3:45:15 AMWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 3:00:25 AMLatvia parliamentary election vote share margin of victory: AS 20%+?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/6/2026, 2:45:17 AMWill PL hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 11:45:21 PMWill Beto do Movimento win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 11:45:15 PMWill Beto do Movimento win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 11:00:27 PMWill Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 10:00:22 PMWill Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 10:00:20 PMWill Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/5/2026, 10:00:13 PMWill Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 9:45:28 PMWill André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 9:15:22 PMWill Alexandre Fleming win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 9:00:23 PMWill Cidônio Gonçalves win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 8:45:16 PMWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 8:30:26 PMWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/5/2026, 8:30:14 PMWill Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/5/2026, 8:30:10 PMWill Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/5/2026, 8:15:31 PMWill Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/5/2026, 8:00:29 PMWill Daniel Lemes win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 8:00:25 PMWill Dra. Lúcia Santos win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 7:45:32 PMWill Carlos Cley win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 7:45:19 PMWill Acácio Favacho win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 7:15:28 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:45:23 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:30:33 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:30:20 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:30:19 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:15:34 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:15:28 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:15:27 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:15:19 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:00:46 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:00:37 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 5:30:30 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 5:15:15 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 4:15:24 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 4:15:15 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 4:00:16 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 3:15:18 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 1:45:09 PMWill Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 1:30:28 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 1:15:16 PMWill Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 8:30:29 AMWill Clariana Barao finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 8:15:32 AMWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 8:15:12 AMWill Augusto Cury win less than 1% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 6:15:13 AMWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
10/5/2026, 5:00:10 AMWill Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 4:15:25 AMWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
10/5/2026, 4:00:09 AMWill Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/5/2026, 4:00:09 AMWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/4/2026, 12:00:24 PMWill SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/4/2026, 4:30:30 AMWill Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
10/4/2026, 3:30:30 AMWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/3/2026, 5:30:11 AMWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/2/2026, 9:15:10 PMDemocratic Senate odds <56% on October 2?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/2/2026, 4:00:53 AMWill Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/1/2026, 8:00:24 PMWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
10/1/2026, 2:15:23 PMWill Jim Justice announce a run for Governor of West Virginia before Oct 1, 2026?resolvedKalshi finalized NO (KXJUSTICEGOV-28-26OCT01)
10/1/2026, 6:30:10 AMWill the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
10/1/2026, 6:15:18 AMWill Serbia call its presidential election by September 30, 2026?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/28/2026, 11:15:10 PMWill Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/28/2026, 2:45:10 AMWill Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/27/2026, 10:45:19 PMWill Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/27/2026, 10:45:12 PMWill Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/27/2026, 10:45:11 PMWill Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/27/2026, 10:45:11 PMWill Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/27/2026, 8:45:11 PMWill Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/26/2026, 6:30:42 AMWill the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/25/2026, 6:30:10 PMDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/25/2026, 3:30:11 AMWill RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/24/2026, 2:45:15 PMWill RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/24/2026, 6:00:11 AMWill Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by at least 40%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/23/2026, 12:30:25 AMWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of British Columbia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?resolvedKalshi finalized YES (KXCANSNAPPROV-28-BC)
9/21/2026, 7:45:18 PMWill AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 10% or more?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 5:45:12 PMWill Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 0-2%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 4:45:32 PMWill SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 4:45:11 PMWill AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 4:30:10 PMWill CDU win fewer than 25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 1:00:12 PMWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 9:30:30 AMWill AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 9:00:09 AMWill CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/21/2026, 8:15:24 AMWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 8:15:12 AMWill CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/21/2026, 12:15:15 AMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
9/19/2026, 11:00:10 PMWill Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/19/2026, 10:15:32 PMWill the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/19/2026, 7:15:12 PMWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/19/2026, 7:00:11 PMWill voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/19/2026, 5:00:09 PMWill Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/18/2026, 8:45:39 AMRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/18/2026, 4:15:19 AMWill Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/18/2026, 3:15:09 AMWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/17/2026, 4:15:09 PMWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
9/17/2026, 7:00:09 AMWill the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/17/2026, 5:30:09 AMSweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/17/2026, 5:15:09 AMSweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/17/2026, 5:00:09 AMWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/16/2026, 2:45:11 PMWill Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/16/2026, 6:00:54 AMWill Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/16/2026, 2:30:13 AMWill Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
9/16/2026, 2:30:10 AMWill John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/15/2026, 4:00:10 PMWill Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/15/2026, 9:00:11 AMWill Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/14/2026, 6:00:14 AMWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/14/2026, 6:00:14 AMWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/14/2026, 6:00:10 AMWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/14/2026, 4:45:11 AMWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
9/13/2026, 2:45:35 PMWill Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/12/2026, 2:45:14 PMWill Andrew Blamey win the next Mulka by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/10/2026, 2:30:08 AMWill Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
9/10/2026, 2:15:11 AMWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
9/9/2026, 5:15:17 PMWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/9/2026, 2:15:12 AMWill John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
9/9/2026, 2:15:09 AMWill Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
9/9/2026, 2:15:09 AMWill Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/7/2026, 5:15:10 PMWill the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/7/2026, 12:45:12 PMWill CDU win fewer than 17 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/7/2026, 12:30:11 PMWill AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/7/2026, 10:30:09 AMWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/7/2026, 10:00:10 AMWill CDU win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/7/2026, 8:15:10 AMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
9/4/2026, 11:16:02 PMWill voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/4/2026, 8:46:02 PMWill UPND win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/4/2026, 5:30:29 AMWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
9/4/2026, 4:46:25 AMWill Jeff Beattie get second place in the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/4/2026, 4:46:24 AMWill Fatima Shaban get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/4/2026, 4:46:21 AMWill Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/4/2026, 4:01:20 AMWill Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/2/2026, 6:15:31 PMWill Gentner Drummond win the Oklahoma Republican Governor primary runoff by at least 25%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/2/2026, 12:31:22 AMWill Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/1/2026, 10:15:34 PMWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/1/2026, 8:30:48 AMWill Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/1/2026, 8:30:46 AMWill Braeden Caley win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
9/1/2026, 6:15:53 AMWill Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/1/2026, 5:04:03 AMWill Dustin Darden win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
9/1/2026, 3:45:50 AMWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by at least 15%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/30/2026, 7:45:44 PMWill Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/30/2026, 4:01:39 PMWill Click Bishop place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/30/2026, 12:30:44 PMWill Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/29/2026, 10:16:12 AMWill Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/29/2026, 5:46:44 AMWill Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/28/2026, 8:15:34 PMWill Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by at least 30%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/27/2026, 6:15:36 AMWill Byron Donalds win at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/27/2026, 4:15:35 AMWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/26/2026, 7:01:14 PMWill Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/26/2026, 5:15:17 AMWill Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
8/26/2026, 3:45:07 AMWill Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/25/2026, 7:15:26 PMSpain snap election called in 2025?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/25/2026, 4:15:23 PMWill Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/25/2026, 7:30:23 AMWill Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/24/2026, 4:30:22 PMKazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/24/2026, 2:01:15 AMWill Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
8/24/2026, 2:01:14 AMWill Kevin Batdorf win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/24/2026, 1:00:27 AMWill Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0055 / 0.9945)
8/23/2026, 8:01:25 PMWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
8/23/2026, 6:15:27 PMWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 1 / 0)
8/23/2026, 6:00:27 PMWill Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
8/23/2026, 3:01:13 PMWill Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0.0005 / 0.9995)
8/23/2026, 2:01:21 PMWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
8/23/2026, 12:15:21 PMWill David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?resolvedPolymarket settled YES (prices 0.9995 / 0.0005)
8/23/2026, 9:01:06 AMWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/23/2026, 8:46:02 AMWill Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)
8/23/2026, 7:46:55 AMUkraine election called in 2025?resolvedPolymarket settled NO (prices 0 / 1)