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The call on this storyLocks in 18d 19h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 by 85% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
LOCKS 4H 50MMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED NOTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
LOCKS 5H 51MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 13+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?
LOCKS 11H 50MWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 14?
LOCKS 11H 50MIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?
RESOLVED NOTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
LOCKS 4H 50MMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED NOTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
LOCKS 5H 51MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 13+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?
LOCKS 11H 50MWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 14?
LOCKS 11H 50MIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?
