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Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 general ?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?
LOCKS 3H 45MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOTrump declares election interference national emergency by July 17?
LOCKS 5H 50MWill Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Elections
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?
LOCKS 9H 45MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
LOCKS 9H 45MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 23?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?
LOCKS 3H 45MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOTrump declares election interference national emergency by July 17?
LOCKS 5H 50MWill Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Elections
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?
LOCKS 9H 45MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
LOCKS 9H 45MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 23?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
